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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
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Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 13.4% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 50.4% | +0.3 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.0% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.8% | +0.6 |
| Water Neos | 9.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -0.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 6.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.5% | -0.7 |
| Wind Allies | 6.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 4.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 3.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dawn of Ashes | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Arisanna | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Diana | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Fire Overlord | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Water Beast | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
| Water Umbra Tristan | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Hybrid | 1.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Vanitas | 1.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.1 |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 34 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 34 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Disorienting Winds | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Incapacitate | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Reclaim | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Spirit of Wind | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Gloamspire Mantle | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Scout the Land | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Sable Remnant | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Wind | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Gearstride Gloves | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slice and Dice | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ensnaring Fumes | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Assassin's Ripper | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Inspiring Call | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Verdigris Decree | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Chalice of Blood | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Arrow Trap | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Zephyr | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dream Fairy | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Penumbral Waltz | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Umbra Sight | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sirocco Operative | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |